Milesbrand Blog

6 Takeaways from the 2026 New Home Trends Summit

Written by Admin | Sep 28, 2026, 3:00:00 PM

Dave Miles, President and Brand Strategist of Milesbrand, here, and I just spent two days in Austin at the New Home Trends Summit, hosted by John Burns Research and Consulting, and one idea ran through nearly every session: in a market where consumer confidence sits near an all-time low, the communities and home builders that win are the ones brave enough to stand out rather than blend in, to innovate where the rest of the field is playing it safe, and to bring a little joy to people who are making one of the biggest decisions of their lives. Here are the six takeaways we are still thinking about.

1. Every life stage is carrying something, and it is not the same thing.

The opening session, The Pulse of the Market, was one of the richest parts of the summit for us. Eric Finnigan, VP of Demographics Research, and Mikaela Arroyo, SVP and Chief of Staff at John Burns Research and Consulting, walked through four homebuyer life stages, and what stayed with me was not the demographics. It was hearing each group in their own words. Under every set of wants is a worry, and the worry is where the story lives.

Mature Singles and Couples. These are the oldest buyers, and health is the number one reason they move. In their own words: “I do not want to be a burden to anyone.” “I worry about having relevant things to do in the future with meaningful people.” One person asked simply, “Will I get to live this chapter on my own terms?” Their needs are diverse and they will keep changing. The takeaway: design for lives that are still evolving, not winding down.

Mature Families. This is nearly half of all households, and many of them are the sandwich generation, holding up their kids and their parents at once. “I may not ever be able to retire.” “My parents need help too as they age.” One in four consumers over 55 say they would move if their kids or grandkids moved. The question underneath it all: “Can I support my kids and my parents, and still protect the future I have been working toward?” The takeaway: bigger, flexible homes that flex as families change, including a real place to work.

Young Families. Their world is expensive and chaotic. Daycare and preschool costs are up 275% since 1991, against 136% for broad consumer prices. Their top worries are the economy, the cost of raising kids and giving them the childhood they want, and their own mental health and energy as parents. “I have to put her in the right circumstances to give her the best chance to succeed.” The takeaway: sell them ease. Anything a community does to take friction out of a chaotic life is worth more than one more feature.

Young Singles and Couples. This is 25 million households, most of them renting with many feeling stuck. “I feel stuck in this perpetual loop of mediocrity. Even though my income has increased substantially, my expenses have increased even more.” “Already 30+ years old and I thought I would have kids and a house by now.” They worry about whether they will ever afford a home they actually want. The takeaway is my favorite line of the day: attainable, but never bland. This group will stretch for a place with real character. They will not settle for beige.

Four stages and four very different emotional truths. The builders who win will stop marketing to a generic buyer and start speaking to the specific worry each group carries.

2. Appealing to everyone appeals to almost no one.

This was the line on the screen, and it is the trap so many communities fall into. In the effort to leave no buyer behind, they sand off every edge until there is nothing left to remember. A place built to please everyone ends up standing for nothing, and a place that stands for nothing competes on price alone.

One example stuck with me. In one large master-planned community, more than half of residents did not have children, yet so much of the storytelling in our industry still defaults to the young family with the golden retriever. If half your buyers do not see themselves in your story, you are working against your own absorption. The question the room kept coming back to was, who is this really for?

The takeaway ties back to those four life stages. Know exactly who a community is for, then commit. Specificity is not a risk, it is the strategy. A brand with a clear point of view gives the right buyer a reason to choose you and a reason to pay for it, which is the opposite of blending in and hoping to be picked.

3. You cannot sell your way out of a place with no soul.

One of my favorite sessions was the fireside chat with Tom Woliver, straight from the GOAT’s mouth. He does not call himself a marketer. He calls himself a community builder, and everything he said came back to putting soul into a place rather than following a formula. There is no checklist that rescues a community that does not know what it is. As he put it, you cannot sell your way out of bad land, and convenience has quietly become the thing people value most.

What stuck with me was his belief that the job is to give people a reason to move, not just a set of features to compare. When a place has a real soul, everything you build and program becomes proof of it rather than the pitch itself. The takeaway: decide what your community stands for first, then let every decision after that flow from it.

4. Branding is strategy. Marketing is activation.

I'm Genevieve Benson, SVP of Strategic Partnerships, and as a member of the Master-Planned Communities Council, I had the privilege of joining a panel at our council session to talk about the window between land acquisition and launch, the moment a piece of dirt becomes a place with a name and a point of view. The distinction I keep coming back to is this: branding is strategy, marketing is activation. Brand decides what a community stands for. Marketing carries that promise into the world. When teams skip the first part and rush to the second, they end up with beautiful ads for a place that never decided what it was.

The CMO conversation later, with leaders from Taylor Morrison and M/I Homes, arrived at the same place from a different direction. Brand building is an always investment, something you fund through the whole cycle instead of switching on the month you need sales. They pointed to a hard truth of our category: at any given moment, only about 5% of your market is ready to buy, so the other 95% are quietly forming impressions long before they ever set foot in a model. Trust compounds when you keep showing up in culture, and Taylor Morrison proved it with their Liquid Death partnership, a gleefully unexpected campaign that gave away a home with soda-flavored sparkling water running from every faucet. It was odd, it was funny, and it made a home builder impossible to scroll past.

This is where our work at Milesbrand really begins. A brand has to translate what a developer is quietly building into value a buyer can feel, and that starts with a community story that is genuinely rich, rooted in the land and the neighborhood around it, and personal to the people who will live there. The story is only half of it. It has to be activated through programming, the events and rituals, and small daily moments that make a place feel alive, so the brand becomes a lived experience for residents from day one rather than a logo on a sign.

The takeaway for developers is to treat brand as the strategy that everything else hangs from, and to fund it as a long-term asset. And when you make the promise, point to the proof. Promise the feeling, then show buyers the tangible thing that makes it real, so aspiration always has something to stand on.

5. People are still moving, so give them a reason to feel good about it.

It is easy to talk yourself into gloom in a market like this one, so I appreciated the reminder from Chris Hartley that people are still moving. They are still starting families, chasing new jobs and looking for somewhere to plant roots. Our job is to make that experience the best it can be when they do. Chris said it in a line I have not stopped repeating since: “suck less for success.” He was talking about raising expectations for our teams, protecting the talent we already have and keeping our salespeople genuinely engaged, because a buyer who walks in ready deserves someone across the table who is every bit as ready.

There is a quieter opportunity tucked inside that idea. While much of the industry is bracing and trimming, the teams that choose to innovate and bring a little joy to the buying experience end up standing out almost without trying. Buying a home should feel like something. The people brave enough to make it feel that way are the ones buyers remember, talk about and send their friends to.

6. Design belongs to everyone.

Kate Canales, a longtime design leader who now teaches at UT Austin and runs its Creative Capacity Lab, gave the keynote, and it made me rethink how our own team works. Her whole practice is built on handing design tools to people who were never told they were allowed to use them. She reached back to Herbert Simon, the Nobel laureate who wrote that everyone designs who devises courses of action aimed at changing existing situations into preferred ones. By that definition, a developer shaping a community, a marketer shaping a story and a salesperson shaping a first impression are all designers. She paired that with Nigel Cross and his idea of designerly ways of knowing, the argument that design is its own form of intelligence that sits alongside the sciences and the humanities rather than beneath them. The trouble, she said, is that modern professional cultures reward analytical thinking so heavily that many talented people grow afraid to trust their own creative instincts at work.

The part I loved was how designers actually solve problems. They try iterative, tentative solutions to explore and understand a problem, rather than settling on the problem before they start solving it. A sketch can surprise the person who drew it. You learn what you think by making something rough and looking at it, which is the opposite of waiting until you have the perfect answer before you begin.

The takeaway is bigger than any one session. In an industry leaning hard on data and analytics, the edge belongs to teams that protect the messier, more creative ways of knowing. That is where distinctive brands come from, and it is exactly the space Milesbrand loves to work in.

The best part is never on the slides.

I will end on the part that never makes the agenda. The real gift of a summit like this is the room. It is being in the same space as the people who shape our communities, our industry peers, our friends and the mentors who taught me so much of what I know. My favorite moments almost always happen off the stage, such as the ideas traded around a dinner table and during the networking breaks or the questions asked out of genuine curiosity while surrounded by the best in our field. You can find the data anywhere. What you cannot replicate is a hallway conversation with someone whose work you have admired for years, or a dinner where an offhand comment quietly reframes a project waiting back home. That is the real gift of being there in person, shoulder to shoulder with the placemakers and activators who are bringing the best places to live and visit in this country to life.

Behind the Summit: Q&A with Dave and Genevieve

Beyond the main stage, Dave and I both serve on councils within John Burns’ New Home Trends Institute. Here is a quick look at what that involves and why it matters to the way Milesbrand works.

What are the New Home Trends Institute councils?

Members of the New Home Trends Institute, part of John Burns Research and Consulting, can apply to join one of four councils focused on consumer trends, home design trends, master plan trends and build-to-rent trends. Each council is a small, confidential group of industry leaders that meets quarterly to share what they are seeing in the market and work through the questions shaping it.

Dave, you serve on the Consumer Council. What does it focus on?

The Consumer Council digs into how buyers think, feel and make decisions, including the kind of research behind the life-stage insights in our first takeaway. For a brand strategist, it is a chance to hear what buyers are telling the industry before it shows up in the headlines.

Genevieve, you serve on the Master-Planned Communities Council. What does that group dig into?

The Master-Planned Communities Council brings together developers and master plan leaders to work through land planning, programming, amenities and long-term community building. It is where the “why” behind a community gets debated, and that is exactly where brand begins.

Why does Milesbrand invest the time?

Milesbrand invests the time in NHTI because the best brand work comes from understanding the whole business, not just the marketing. Sitting at the table with developers, builders, and researchers keeps our thinking honest, and it means the insights we bring to our clients come straight from the room rather than secondhand.

Genevieve, you spoke on a panel at your council meeting. What did you cover?

I joined a panel on the window between land acquisition and launch, the moment a piece of dirt gets a name and a point of view. It was one of the most energizing conversations of the week. 

The bottom line.

Strip away the sessions and the stats, and the summit told one story. Each life stage is carrying a different worry, and the communities that speak to that specific worry, with a brand brave enough to stand for something, are the ones people choose and pay for. Amenities describe what a community has. A brand defines what it is. And in a cautious market, the brands willing to stand out, innovate and make the experience genuinely joyful are the ones buyers will remember.

Here is what I keep coming back to after three decades in this industry. The pressure buyers are under is not a passing mood, it is reshaping who buys and why. When a 30-year-old cannot have the timeline they were promised, the emotional weight of the decision goes up, not down, and the home has to feel worth the sacrifice. At the same time, product has quietly stopped being a differentiator. Most builders have access to the same floor plans, the same amenity playbook and the same trends data John Burns sells across the room. The one thing that cannot be copied is meaning, so in this market brand is the last real moat.

Which is why the reflex to go quiet and discount your way through a slow cycle is exactly backwards. Discounting teaches buyers to wait and slowly erodes the equity you spent years building. The developers who keep telling a clear, confident story through the soft stretch are the ones who own the recovery when it comes. The data will only get better and more evenly available to everyone. The real advantage will belong to the teams with the creative courage to interpret it, take a position and build a place that stands for something. That work is harder than following the comps, and it is worth more now than it has been in years.

At Milesbrand, this is the work we love, taking land and giving it a point of view clear enough that the right buyer feels it before they can explain it. If you are shaping a new community, repositioning one or naming what comes next, we would love to compare notes. Let us know what you are planning, and let us help you turn dirt into a differentiated destination.